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Operational Risk Manager (ORM) Exam

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Question # 1

Under the CreditPortfolio View model of credit risk, the conditional probability of default will be:

Options:

A.  

lower than the unconditional probability of default in an economic expansion

B.  

higherthan the unconditional probability of default in an economic expansion

C.  

lower than the unconditional probability of default in an economic contraction

D.  

the same as the unconditional probability of default in an economic expansion

Discussion 0
Question # 2

A bank expects the error rate in transaction data entry for a particular business process to be 0.005%. What is the range of expected errors in a day within +/- 2 standard deviations if there are 2,000,000 such transactions each day?

Options:

A.  

80 to 120 errors in a day

B.  

60 to 80 errors in a day

C.  

0 to 200 errors in a day

D.  

90 to 110 errors in a day

Discussion 0
Question # 3

Which of the following is NOT true in respect of bilateral close out netting:

Options:

A.  

The net amount due is immediately receivable or payable

B.  

All transactions are immediatelyclosed out upon the occurrence of a credit event for either of the counterparties

C.  

All transactions are netted against each other

D.  

Transactions are separated by transaction type and immediately settled separately at each's replacement value

Discussion 0
Question # 4

Credit exposure for derivatives is measured using

Options:

A.  

Current replacement value

B.  

Notional value of the derivative

C.  

Forward looking exposure profile of the derivative

D.  

Standard normal distribution

Discussion 0
Question # 5

If E denotes the expected value of a loan portfolio at the end on one year and U the value of the portfolio in the worst case scenario at the 99% confidence level, which of the following expressions correctly describes economic capital requiredin respect of credit risk?

Options:

A.  

E - U

B.  

U/E

C.  

U

D.  

E

Discussion 0
Question # 6

The capital adequacy ratio applied to risk weighted assets for the calculation of capital requirements for credit risk per Basel II is:

Options:

A.  

150%

B.  

12.5%

C.  

100%

D.  

8%

Discussion 0
Question # 7

Which of the following statements is true

I. If no loss data is available, good quality scenarios can be used to model operational risk

II. Scenario data can be mixed with observed loss data for modeling severity and frequency estimates

III. Severity estimates should not be created by fitting models to scenario generated loss data points alone

IV. Scenario assessments should only be used as modifiers to ILD or ELD severity models.

Options:

A.  

I

B.  

I and II

C.  

III and IV

D.  

All statements are true

Discussion 0
Question # 8

According to the implied capital model, operational risk capital is estimated as:

Options:

A.  

Operational risk capital held by similar firms, appropriately scaled

B.  

Total capital less market risk capital less credit risk capital

C.  

Capitalimplied from known risk premiums and the firm's earnings

D.  

Total capital based on the capital asset pricing model

Discussion 0
Question # 9

Financial institutions need to take volatility clustering into account:

I. To avoid taking on an undesirable level of risk

II. To know the right level of capital they need to hold

III. To meet regulatory requirements

IV. To account for mean reversion in returns

Options:

A.  

II, III and IV

B.  

I & II

C.  

I, II and III

D.  

I, II and IV

Discussion 0
Question # 10

A bank prices retail credit loans based on median default rates. Over the long run, it can expect:

Options:

A.  

Overestimation of risk and overpricing, leading to lossof market share

B.  

A reduction in the rate of defaults

C.  

Correct pricing of risk in the retail credit portfolio

D.  

Underestimation and therefore underpricing of risk in it retail portfolio

Discussion 0
Question # 11

Which of the following is not a parameter to be determined by the risk manager that affects the level of economic credit capital:

Options:

A.  

Risk horizon

B.  

Confidence level

C.  

Probability of default

D.  

Definition of credit losses

Discussion 0
Question # 12

Economic capital under the Earnings Volatility approach is calculated as:

Options:

A.  

Expected earnings/Specific risk premium for the firm

B.  

[Expected earningsless Earnings under the worst case scenario at a given confidence level]/Required rate of return for the firm

C.  

Earnings under the worst case scenario at a given confidence level/Required rate of return for the firm

D.  

Expected earnings/Required rate of return for the firm

Discussion 0
Question # 13

Which of the following belong in a credit risk report?

Options:

A.  

Exposures by country

B.  

Exposures by industry

C.  

Largest exposures by counterparty

D.  

All of the above

Discussion 0
Question # 14

Under the KMV Moody's approach to calculating expectingdefault frequencies (EDF), firms' default on obligations is likely when:

Options:

A.  

expected asset values one year hence are below total liabilities

B.  

asset values reach a level below short term debt

C.  

asset values reach a level below totalliabilities

D.  

asset values reach a level between short term debt and total liabilities

Discussion 0
Question # 15

If A and B be two debt securities, which of the following is true?

Options:

A.  

The probability of simultaneous default of A and B is greatest when their default correlation is +1

B.  

The probability of simultaneous default of Aand B is not dependent upon their default correlations, but on their marginal probabilities of default

C.  

The probability of simultaneous default of A and B is greatest when their default correlation is negative

D.  

The probability of simultaneous default of A and B is greatest when their default correlation is 0

Discussion 0
Question # 16

Which of the following statements is true:

I. Basel II requires banks to conduct stress testing in respect of their credit exposures in addition to stress testing for market risk exposures

II. Basel II requires pooled probabilities of default (and not individual PDs for each exposure) to be used for credit risk capital calculations

Options:

A.  

I

B.  

I & II

C.  

II

D.  

Neither statement is true

Discussion 0
Question # 17

Which of the following are valid approaches to leveraging external loss data for modeling operational risks:

I. Both internal and external losses can be fitted with distributions,and a weighted average approach using these distributions is relied upon for capital calculations.

II. External loss data is used to inform scenario modeling.

III. External loss data is combined with internal loss data points, and distributions fitted to the combined data set.

IV. External loss data is used to replace internal loss data points to create a higher quality data set to fit distributions.

Options:

A.  

I, II and III

B.  

I and III

C.  

II and IV

D.  

All of the above

Discussion 0
Question # 18

Which of the following statements are correct:

I. A training set is a set of data used to create a model, while a control set is a set of data is used to prove that the model actually works

II. Cleansing, aggregating or ensuring data integrity is a task for the IT department, and is not a risk manager's responsibility

III. Lack of information on the quality of underlying securities and assets was a major cause of the collapse in the CDO markets during the credit crisis that started in 2007

IV. The problem of lack of historical data can be addressed reasonably satisfactorily by using analytical approaches

Options:

A.  

II and IV

B.  

I, III and IV

C.  

I and III

D.  

All of the above

Discussion 0
Question # 19

Under the contingent claims approach to measuring credit risk, which of the following factors does NOT affect credit risk:

Options:

A.  

Cash flows of the firm

B.  

Maturity of the debt

C.  

Volatility of the firm's asset values

D.  

Leverage in the capital structure

Discussion 0
Question # 20

Which of the beloware a way to classify risk governance structures:

A Reactive, Preventative and Active

B.  

Committee based, regulation based and board mandated

C.  

Top-down and Bottom-up

D.  

Active and Passive

Options:

Discussion 0
Question # 21

Which of the following statements is NOT true in relation to the recent financial crisis of 2007-08?

Options:

A.  

An intention to diversify from their core activities led all market participants to the same activities, which though appearing diversified at the bank's level, created a concentration risk at the systemic level

B.  

The existence of central counterparties could have limited the damage caused by the financial crisis

C.  

Central banks had data on the interconnections between institutions, but poor understanding and analysis meant this data was never analyzed

D.  

Counterparty risk was difficult togauge as it was impossible to know who the counterparty's counterparties were

Discussion 0
Question # 22

Which of the following is not a limitation of the univariate Gaussian model to capture the codependence structure between risk factros used for VaR calculations?

Options:

A.  

The univariate Gaussian model fails to fit to the empirical distributions of risk factors, notably their fat tails and skewness.

B.  

Determining the covariance matrix becomes an extremely difficult task as the number of risk factors increases.

C.  

It cannot capture linear relationships between risk factors.

D.  

A single covariance matrix is insufficient to describe the fine codependence structure among risk factors as non-linear dependencies or tail correlations are not captured.

Discussion 0
Question # 23

An error by a third party service provider results in a loss to a client that the bank has to make up. Such as loss would be categorized per Basel IIoperational risk categories as:

Options:

A.  

Execution delivery and process management

B.  

Outsourcing loss

C.  

Business disruption and process failure

D.  

Abnormal loss

Discussion 0
Question # 24

Which loss event type is the failure to timely deliver collateral classified as under the Basel II framework?

Options:

A.  

Clients, products and business practices

B.  

External fraud

C.  

Information security

D.  

Execution, Delivery & Process Management

Discussion 0
Question # 25

Which of the following best describes economic capital?

Options:

A.  

Economic capital is the amount of regulatory capital mandated for financial institutions in the OECD countries

B.  

Economic capital is the amount of regulatory capital that minimizes the cost ofcapital for firm

C.  

Economic capital reflects the amount of capital required to maintain a firm's target credit rating

D.  

Economic capital is a form of provision for market risk losses should adverse conditions arise

Discussion 0
Question # 26

Which of the following are valid criticisms of value at risk:

I. There are many risks that a VaR framework cannot model

II. VaR does not considerliquidity risk

III. VaR does not account for historical market movements

IV. VaR does not consider the risk of contagion

Options:

A.  

I, II and IV

B.  

I and III

C.  

II and IV

D.  

All of the above

Discussion 0
Question # 27

The CDS quote for the bonds of Bank X is 200 bps. Assuming a recovery rate of 40%, calculate the default hazard rate priced in the CDS quote.

Options:

A.  

0.80%

B.  

5.00%

C.  

3.33%

D.  

2.00%

Discussion 0
Question # 28

A financial institution is considering shedding a business unit to reduce its economic capital requirements. Which of the following is an appropriate measure of theresulting reduction in capital requirements?

Options:

A.  

Incremental capital for the business unit in consideration

B.  

Proportionate capital for the business unit in consideration

C.  

Percentage of total gross income contributed by the business unit in question

D.  

Marginal capital for the business unit in consideration

Discussion 0
Question # 29

Which of the following best describes a 'break clause ?

Options:

A.  

A break clause gives either party to a transaction the right to terminate the transaction at market price at future date(s)

B.  

A break clausedetermines the process by which amounts due on early termination will be determined

C.  

A break clause describes rights and obligations when the derivative contract is broken

D.  

A break clause sets out the conditions under which the transaction will be terminated upon non-compliance with the ISDA MA

Discussion 0
Question # 30

When building a operational loss distribution by combining a loss frequency distribution and a loss severity distribution, it is assumed that:

I. The severity of losses is conditional upon the numberof loss events

II. The frequency of losses is independent from the severity of the losses

III. Both the frequency and severity of loss events are dependent upon the state of internal controls in the bank

Options:

A.  

I, II and III

B.  

II

C.  

II and III

D.  

I and II

Discussion 0
Question # 31

Which of the following data sources are expected to influence operational risk capital under the AMA:

I. Internal Loss Data (ILD)

II. External Loss Data (ELD)

III. Scenario Data (SD)

IV. Business Environment and Internal Control Factors (BEICF)

Options:

A.  

I and II

B.  

I, II and III only

C.  

III only

D.  

All of the above

Discussion 0
Question # 32

Which of the following represents a riskier exposure for a bank: A LIBOR based loan, or an Overnight Indexed Swap? Which of the two rates is expected to be higher?

Assume the same counterparty and the same notional.

Options:

A.  

A LIBOR based loan; OIS rate will be higher

B.  

Overnight Index Swap; LIBOR rate will be higher

C.  

A LIBOR based loan; LIBOR rate will be higher

D.  

Overnight Index Swap; OIS rate will be higher

Discussion 0
Question # 33

In estimating credit exposure for a line of credit, it is usual to consider:

Options:

A.  

a fixed fraction of the line of credit to be the exposure at default even though the currently drawn amount is quite different from such a fraction.

B.  

the full value of the credit line to be the exposure at default as the borrower has an informational advantage that will lead them to borrow fully against the credit line at the time of default.

C.  

only the value of credit exposure currently existing against the credit line as the exposure at default.

D.  

the present value of the line of credit at the agreed rate of lending.

Discussion 0
Question # 34

Which of the following statements is true in respect of a non financial manufacturing firm?

I. Market risk is not relevant to the manufacturing firm as it does not take proprietary positions

II. The firm faces market risks as an externality which it must bear and has no control over

III. Market risks can make a comparative assessment of profitability over time difficult

IV. Market risks for a manufacturing firm are not directionally biased and do not increase the overall risk of the firm as they net to zero over a long term time horizon

Options:

A.  

III only

B.  

IV only

C.  

I and II

D.  

III and IV

Discussion 0
Question # 35

For a hypotherical UoM, the number of losses in two non-overlapping datasets is 24 and 32 respectively. The Pareto tail parameters for the two datasets calculated using the maximum likelihood estimation method are 2 and 3. What is an estimate of the tail parameter of the combined dataset?

Options:

A.  

2.57

B.  

2.23

C.  

3

D.  

Cannot be determined

Discussion 0
Question # 36

A bullet bond and an amortizing loan are issued at the same time with the same maturity and with the same principal. Which of these would have a greater credit exposure halfway through their life?

Options:

A.  

Indeterminate with the given information

B.  

They would have identical exposure half way through their lives

C.  

The amortizing loan

D.  

The bullet bond

Discussion 0
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